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Clemson vs. California

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 26, 2026
MarketMaster fair value52¢ vs live 51¢ on Kalshi
1.3% against the midpoint, 0.8% against the 51¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.9% after the 1.75¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢51¢
NO49¢50¢
$37,002 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES52¢53¢
NO47¢48¢
$14,119 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Clemson wins the Clemson vs California college football game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game between Clemson and California, scheduled for September 25 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Clemson" if Clemson win the game. This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last51¢
Polymarket last53¢
Model fair value52¢
Model confidence40%
Venues2
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