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Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 26, 2026
MarketMaster fair value53¢ vs live 52¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.3% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
52¢ last
BidAsk
YES51¢52¢
NO48¢49¢
$6,510 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
54¢ last
BidAsk
YES53¢54¢
NO46¢47¢
$6,661 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Cincinnati and San Francisco collectively score more 7.5 runs in the Cincinnati vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 26 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cincinnati Reds and San Francisco Giants combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last52¢
Polymarket last54¢
Model fair value53¢
Model confidence38%
Venues2
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