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Chengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 25, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
63¢ last
BidAsk
YES62¢63¢
NO37¢38¢
$9,251 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
62¢ last
BidAsk
YES60¢61¢
NO39¢40¢
$7,660 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Alejandro Tabilo wins the Tabilo vs Mannarino professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Chengdu Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Adrian Mannarino in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Alejandro Tabilo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last63¢
Polymarket last62¢
Venues2
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