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Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 46.5

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 20, 2026
MarketMaster fair value49¢ vs live 48¢ on Kalshi
1.3% against the midpoint, 0.8% against the 48¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.9% after the 1.75¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
47¢ last
BidAsk
YES47¢48¢
NO52¢53¢
$2,833 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
50¢ last
BidAsk
YES47¢48¢
NO52¢53¢
$1,471 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Cincinnati and Houston collectively score more than 46.5 points in the Cincinnati vs Houston Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Bengals and Texans combine to score 47 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 47, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last47¢
Polymarket last50¢
Model fair value49¢
Model confidence32%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.