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Basilashvili vs Cina — Nikoloz Basilashvili

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 23, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
47¢ last
BidAsk
YES46¢47¢
NO53¢54¢
$112,690 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES49¢50¢
NO50¢51¢
$8,260 volume
Cross-venue spread 4.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 98¢ per $1 payout, locking +2.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Nikoloz Basilashvili wins the Basilashvili vs Cina professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Chengdu Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Federico Cina in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread4.0¢
Kalshi last47¢
Polymarket last51¢
Venues2
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