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Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 29, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
MarketMaster fair value43¢ vs live 39¢ on Polymarket
▲ +3.8% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
45¢ last
BidAsk
YES42¢54¢
NO46¢58¢
$450,298 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
39¢ last
BidAsk
YES33¢35¢
NO65¢67¢
$238,920 volume
Cross-venue spread 6.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 93¢ per $1 payout, locking +7.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Baltimore and Detroit collectively score more 7.5 runs in the Baltimore vs Detroit professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for July 29 at 1:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Baltimore Orioles and Detroit Tigers combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread6.0¢
Kalshi last45¢
Polymarket last39¢
Model fair value43¢
Model confidence53%
Venues2
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