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Ball St. vs UMass: Total Points — Over 47.5 points

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 5, 2026
MarketMaster fair value55¢ vs live 54¢ on Kalshi
1.9% against the midpoint, 1.4% against the 54¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.3% after the 1.74¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES53¢54¢
NO46¢47¢
$44,086 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
57¢ last
BidAsk
YES55¢56¢
NO44¢45¢
$91,554 volume
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Cross-venue spread 4.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the teams collectively score more than 47.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for November 4 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Ball State and UMass combine to score 48 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 48, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread4.0¢
Kalshi last53¢
Polymarket last57¢
Model fair value55¢
Model confidence50%
Venues2
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