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Atlanta vs Pittsburgh: Total Points — Over 40.5 points scored

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Sep 13, 2026
MarketMaster fair value48¢ vs live 47¢ on Polymarket
1.3% against the midpoint, 0.3% against the 48¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.0% after the 1.25¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
50¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢51¢
NO49¢50¢
$14,703 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES52¢53¢
NO47¢48¢
$16,999 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Atlanta and Pittsburgh collectively score more than 40.5 points in the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Falcons and Steelers combine to score 41 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 41, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last50¢
Polymarket last53¢
Model fair value48¢
Model confidence32%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.