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Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Southern University

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 4, 2026
MarketMaster fair value42¢ vs live 41¢ on Kalshi
2.0% against the midpoint, 1.5% against the 41¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.2% after the 1.69¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
41¢ last
BidAsk
YES40¢41¢
NO59¢60¢
$7,534 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
44¢ last
BidAsk
YES42¢43¢
NO57¢58¢
$29,618 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins the Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Southern University college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Southern University, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas-Pine Bluff" if Arkansas-Pine Bluff win the game. This market will resolve to "Southern University" if Southern University win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last41¢
Polymarket last44¢
Model fair value42¢
Model confidence43%
Venues2
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