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Arizona vs Atlanta: Total Runs — Over 8.5 runs scored

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 16, 2026
MarketMaster fair value43¢ vs live 42¢ on Polymarket
▲ +1.4% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
55¢ last
BidAsk
YES55¢56¢
NO44¢45¢
$114,404 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
58¢ last
BidAsk
YES57¢58¢
NO42¢43¢
$66,676 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Arizona and Atlanta collectively score more 8.5 runs in the Arizona vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 16 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Arizona Diamondbacks and Atlanta Braves combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last55¢
Polymarket last58¢
Model fair value57¢
Model confidence49%
Venues2
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