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AEK Athens vs Real Madrid — Real Madrid

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Nov 4, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
78¢ last
BidAsk
YES78¢79¢
NO21¢22¢
$346,065 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
44¢ last
BidAsk
YES42¢43¢
NO57¢58¢
$4,556 volume
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Cross-venue spread 34.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 65¢ per $1 payout, locking +35.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Real Madrid wins the AEK Athens vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game between Real Madrid and Panathinaikos, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If the Panathinaikos win, the market will resolve to "Panathinaikos". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread34.0¢
Kalshi last78¢
Polymarket last44¢
Venues2
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